fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. FiveThirtyEight - Media Bias/Fact Check 01:00 PM. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Accuracy is not guaranteed. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. ( Businessweek) The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Thats Changing. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Local news is disappearing across the country. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App send a tweet. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. They determine whether we live in a free or repres How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. It's a busy week! Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. 3 min read. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. The Downballot: Americans are more liberal than you think, with Rachael Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. June 2, 2016. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. This Day In Esoteric Political History Radiotopia The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Transcript of What The White House | Happy Scribe They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Transcripts by Erin Wade. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. This is the first episode. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. 0:00:00 In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. You can't imitate a worldview. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Saturday, February 25, 2023. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. police- settlements. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model.